Golden Globes 2016: Do the winners really help predict dead certs at the Oscars?

The Golden Globes have always been recognised as the most predictable award show given how often they are swayed by sentiment and personal preference rather than the pure greatness present in film and TV of that particular year. During the 2016 event, it somewhat succumbed to its own stereotype again, almost exclusively in the television categories by electing Mad Men's Jon Hamm the best actor in a drama series (now the show has finished, of course) and honouring American Horror Story: Hotel's Lady Gaga for her campy role as The Countess.

It's always been rumoured that the Hollywood Foreign Press Association gives out awards to names that are more often than not fan favourites rather than obvious film board choices.

Arguably the biggest question on every film fan's lips this year, is whether it is finally time for Leonardo DiCaprio win the statuette that has eluded him since he started being nominated for such accolades in 1994: the Academy Award. With The Revenant earning itself three big awards including one for DiCaprio at the Golden Globes, he seems in good stead to get the Oscar for the same film come the February ceremony. Maybe.

In 2014, he won the Golden Globe for his portrayal of Jordan Belfort in The Wolf Of Wall Street and but was Dallas Buyer's Club lead Matthew McConaughey who walked away with the top prize at the Oscars.

But IBTimes UK thinks 2016 could be his year. Unlike two years ago, DiCaprio has actively campaigned – which always offers up more chances of an actor walking away with the accolade – but the Titanic star winning is far from definite considering past patterns.

Like DiCaprio, it was largely expected that Brie Larson would be named best actress for her performance in Lenny Abrahamson's uplifting drama, Room. We'd be very shocked if the 26-year-old was snubbed at the Oscars for the same award. In 2015, Julianne Moore won for Still Alice at both the Golden Globes and the Academy Awards, so perhaps the HFPA is more consistent with its choice of winners in the film categories, eh?

Quite surprisingly, Hollywood's current IT girl Alicia Vikander lost out in both the leading actress and supporting in which she was present. In the latter, Kate Winslet was victorious despite the British actress getting half the praise that Vikander has received for her performances (yes, plural) this year. This was another category where the Golden Globe winner went on to claim the Oscar for the same prize too, so trends suggest Winslet will get it but will the Oscars be a little more daring and pick Vikander? We think so.

While not completely out of the blue, the Golden Globes did seem to buck their usual trends by opting to award the accolade for best supporting actor to Sylvester Stallone for his performance in Creed, despite there not being huge amounts of buzz surrounding the film.

If the Golden Globes are the predictable awards, whereas the Oscars exhibit the more out there winners, then it looks like Stallone has the potential to get the Academy Award for the same title too. In 2014, it was JK Simmons who earned both the Golden Globe and the Oscar again, so it looks like Stallone could follow the Whiplash star's footsteps. Interestingly enough, Simmons played a mentor-like character in the film he won for back then, as does Stallone now.

Not so surprising, though, was the HFPA awarding Joy star Jennifer Lawrence best actress in a musical or comedy, despite the picture having been met with largely negative reviews. But those didn't taint the actress's chances of walking away with an award at the Golden Globes.

It's not that Lawrence's performance in the film was bad – many have said that it is the most redeeming thing about the film – but it seems evident that without the Golden Globe comedy/drama divides, Lawrence wouldn't have had a chance.

Will she pick up a nomination and even win for best actress at the Oscars when pitted against the likes of Larson, Vikander, Cate Blanchett and Saoirse Ronan? We can almost definitively say no.

When it comes to best animated feature and what is likely to take the crown at the Oscars, there's no other contender that could successfully compete against Disney's Inside Out. The nominations for the Academy Awards haven't even been announced yet but if any wins are set in stone, it's that one.

Now The Revenant is becoming a looming contender in terms of awards for best picture and director (for Alejandro González Iñárritu), it seems likely it will be the title to come out on top at the Oscars. However, quite controversially in 2015, the ultimate Golden Globe went to Richard Linklater's Boyhood whereas the board at the Oscars favoured Iñárritu's Birdman. It's not unheard of for them to pick the same choice though, as the year before, each ceremony awarded Steve McQueen's 12 Years A Slave with the top prize.

Looking at what The Revenant is up against, it seems likely it will walk away with the most prestigious award of the year: best motion picture, alongside a director's for Iñárritu. The Oscars clearly admire his work already, but only time will tell.

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